Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Tidy Anti-Bubbles All Broken?

A trillion or so dollars in dollar-based credit = some promised, some delivered - will do that.

Ah well, back to fundamentals and maybe some brand-new bubbles. Nobody ever said this would be easy. Needless to say, the dollar short-term dollar shortage has been ameliorated.

Wow.

Long-term.

Doubt it.

But because the anti-bubble trends are threatened, while I still believe in the dollar-led deflation scenario, obviously it's a wait-and-see thing. Dollar index has been hit, through the 50-day MA, but still above the 100-day and nowhere near even July levels.



So maybe everything is still in place - except gold - but it's a shame. The trends were so nice and neat.


May you live in interesting times

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